Skip to main content

Inversion modelling products with uncertainties

Document
10.18160/91JA-GTC4 (target, metadata)
11676/mW1EkGYiOK-rCOps9pDI4sxO (link)
PAUL-D2-3-V1-1.pdf

During the last period of the ICOS-Cities project, several inversion systems have been developed to produce fossil fuel and biogenic CO2 emissions over Paris, Munich, and Zurich. These inversion systems produce their own associated uncertainties (so-called posterior uncertainties), often impacted by incorrect error specification. Indeed, the various sources of uncertainties in inversion systems, such as transport errors, inventory errors, or biogenic model errors, remain difficult to characterize rigorously. Here, we document the uncertainties associated with fossil fuel emissions primarily, using independent measurements (i.e. direct emissions from eddy-flux towers, mass-balance estimate from 14CO2 flask measurements) and we inter-compare inverse emissions using two different inversion systems. These additional analyses help us document and characterize the actual emissions uncertainties to improve the inverse emissions estimate and their interpretation.

2026
ICOS ERIC - Carbon Portal
Lauvaux, T., Che, K., Chen, J., Stauber, J., Tang, H., Brunner, D., Ponomarev, N., 2026. Inversion modelling products with uncertainties. ICOS ERIC - Carbon Portal. https://doi.org/10.18160/91JA-GTC4
BibTex
@misc{https://doi.org/10.18160/91ja-gtc4,
  doi = {10.18160/91JA-GTC4},
  url = {https://citymeta.icos-cp.eu/objects/mW1EkGYiOK-rCOps9pDI4sxO},
  author = {Lauvaux, Thomas and Che, Ke and Chen, Jia and Stauber, Josef and Tang, Haoyue and Brunner, Dominik and Ponomarev, Nikolai},
  title = {Inversion modelling products with uncertainties},
  publisher = {ICOS ERIC - Carbon Portal},
  year = {2026},
  copyright = {Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International}
}
RIS
TY  - RRPT
T1  - Inversion modelling products with uncertainties
AU  - Lauvaux, Thomas
AU  - Che, Ke
AU  - Chen, Jia
AU  - Stauber, Josef
AU  - Tang, Haoyue
AU  - Brunner, Dominik
AU  - Ponomarev, Nikolai
DO  - 10.18160/91JA-GTC4
UR  - https://citymeta.icos-cp.eu/objects/mW1EkGYiOK-rCOps9pDI4sxO
AB  - During the last period of the ICOS-Cities project, several inversion systems have been developed to produce fossil fuel and biogenic CO2 emissions over Paris, Munich, and Zurich. These inversion systems produce their own associated uncertainties (so-called posterior uncertainties), often impacted by incorrect error specification. Indeed, the various sources of uncertainties in inversion systems, such as transport errors, inventory errors, or biogenic model errors, remain difficult to characterize rigorously.
Here, we document the uncertainties associated with fossil fuel emissions primarily, using independent measurements (i.e. direct emissions from eddy-flux towers, mass-balance estimate from 14CO2 flask measurements) and we inter-compare inverse emissions using two different inversion systems. These additional analyses help us document and characterize the actual emissions uncertainties to improve the inverse emissions estimate and their interpretation.
PY  - 2026
PB  - ICOS ERIC - Carbon Portal
ER  -
929 KB (951769 bytes)
996d4490662238afab08ea6cf690c8e2cc4ec3a80853564e73c4b47b6a1aa1e2
mW1EkGYiOK+rCOps9pDI4sxOw6gIU1ZOc8S0e2oaoeI

Submission

2026-01-16 15:13:56
2026-01-16 15:13:55

Statistics

31
3 pilot cities
15 countries
15 cities
30 scientific partners
13M€ funding
2021-2025
EU flag PAUL, Pilot Applications in Urban Landscapes - Towards integrated city observatories for greenhouse gases (ICOS Cities), has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme under grant agreement No 101037319.